The Prorogation Pattern Is History.

My first thought after looking over the Nanos poll is how we are into a totally new game now that an election is a virtual certainty. The worst news is for the New Democrats -- progressive voters seem to be abandoning them in droves while Liberal support holds steady. In other words, the Harper government's number will not be heading once again into the stratosphere in the pre-election period.

Conservative numbers although rising, are nothing to write home about. I'm thinking this is as good as it gets for them. I'm thinking plateau -- look at the undecided! Those numbers are rising dramatically. To my mind, that suggests that strategic voting is in the offing. Like Trudeau said: hold your nose and...

Once we are in the campaign I expect a gradual firming up in Liberal support. I feel sorry for Jack. If he doesn't take the Prime Minister down, he risks an even greater hemorrhage of voters into the Liberal camp. He might as well contain the damage and go now rather than bleed much more significantly further down the road. Progressives are not known for having much patience for anyone who would even conceivably think about propping up this government.

I like the underlying trend. May it continue.